anarco's blog
charts and trading (and a little bit of other fun stuff such as music, photos, etc.)Boring
The market is quite boring right now, and I do not find anything worth trading. It seems like this week will be very slow going into the three-day weekend :-(
AUG 30 - RMBS
The chart above is the weekly for RMBS. Look at the beauty of the inverted H&S pattern and the perfection of the volume. If this baby breaks $20, it could go to $35. This one is a good candidate for my retirement account.
Aug 27 - TRV (NR7)
TRV has a quite compelling daily chart, and that is why I kept it in my radar fort the last few days.Today I was compelled to take the trade for the following reasons:1. TRV held up quite well during the first part of the session while the rest of the market was selling off.2. Once the sellers release the pressure, TRV made a decisive move above the $49 line which has been forming a base for the past few days.3. After taking $49 (also the PDH), TRV paused and printed a series of IBs against the upsloping 5 EMA. The trigger bars was a NR7, but I used the previous day high as my trigger (plus a few cents) and the PDH as my stop loss.My exit was a the R2 line.
Aug 24 - SHLD (C&H)
SHLD gaped down big 3 days ago and since that time I kept it on my focus list to see what it would do. Today the stock gaped down again but this time with some clear bullish action. This is a nice C&H pattern (but also could be read as a nr7 contraction sectup). Either way, there is an orderly bullish action a very shallow pause with volume contraction and then a 100% extension.Most of my trades these days are in the direction of the major trend so it was a bit hard having the 5EMA and PDL as potential resistance points, but SHLD did not have any trouble penetrating those areas.
Aug 20 - AXP
The first chart shows how AXP was trapped in a channel for the last week or so. I noticed that yesterday so I placed an alarm near the top and another one near the bottom of the channel.
The second chart shows how I executed the trade in the 5min time frame. I basically placed a buy order a few cents above the ORH (which matched the top of the channel) and my stop loss was the low of the previous bar. I set my target at the 38% fib extension drawing the lines from the bottom to the top of the channel, which made sense to me since that was the range in play.
Aug 12 - ALL
ALL gaped up and the ORH matched the PP from a few days ago. Then it printed 2 IBs on the top half of the first bar, so I entered when the high of the 3rd bar broke. The target was 38fib extension drawn from the PDL to the ORH, but I exited as soon buyers hesitated. In a regular day, I would this a bit more room, but I did not want to risk getting chopped on the FOMC action. And also price had consolidated around 28.60 so I was expecting the next leg up to have more force.
Aug 10 - RIMM
Traded it like 00NR7 and DayTrader. No need to post one more chart with this one. I also traded CNX off 2/15, but had to scratch the trade after the bear engulfing bar (7th bar).
Aug 5 - JPM (bull flag)
This is exactly how I want to trade and I really, really hope I can keep this up. I am saying this not because this JPM trade was such a huge winner in dollar value, but because I think I executed according to my plan and my rules. I did not enter too soon and I did not exit in a hurry. I may have given up too much with my final exit, but I hope to keep improving there as well.The rational for this one is simple and it matches my bull flag setup parameters:- Initial decisive move with good volume.- Orderly pullback (bull flag) on declining volume- A bullish candlestick resuming the move up. That could be a bullish candlestick formation such as an offsetting bar, a hammer, etc.- The bullish candlestick finds support from the rising 5EMA- An IB after the bullish candlestick is a plusJamie: Your NR7 post is helping me a lot in defining trading rules. Thank you!
Aug 3 - SLB
SLB gaped up into the PP and I was hoping for the second bar to be an IB, but it broke above the PP with a bullish candle so I jumped in. I took a partial at the next PP level and was ready to wait for consolidation before the next leg, but I exited after a bearish long wick candle that touched the $56 number.At the moment I exited I realized I exited too quickly and that was a mistake for the following reasons:1. At the point of my exit SLB was still printing higher lows, which means that the trend was instact.2. I did not give SLB time to rest/retrace/pause before the next leg up.3. I was operating out of fear. And fear and greed are the main enemies of a trader.So while this was not a great trade in terms of results, it has helped realize the type of rules I need to define in terms of trade management.
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